The Last Days of Guaido's Interim Government
Tony wrote a frame-by-frame summary of Guaido's downfall for his substack, check it out
Tag: Juan Guaidó
Knives Out: Venezuelan Opposition Edition
Months of unease within the opposition produced a new, big crevasse in the weak alliance with the defenestration of Guaidó’s caretakership, in a way that shattered what remained of the opposition’s chances and image among voters
If Guaidó Is Done, Then What?
If the Biden administration ceases to support the figure of the caretaker president as it’s expected, it would have an impact on Venezuelan assets abroad, migration, and justice for human rights violations
Why Would the U.S. Stop Recognizing Venezuela’s Caretaker Government?
If the Biden administration lures Maduro back to the negotiation table with the opposition, chavismo could gain a lot, but the U.S. can find a way to leave the scene with some dignity
What Options Are Left on the Table?
This is an extract of Friday's Political Risk Report. After sweeping away the option of the recall referendum, what will be the "ask" to the Maduro government in the next round of talks? How does this impact chavismo and the opposition?
From Interim to Indefinite: the Life and Times of the Caretaker Government
Its original promise proved unfeasible long ago, but the alternative political body created in 2019 still stands. Here’s a timeline, from its enthusiastic origins to its murky present
Juan is the Loneliest Number
Here's a short extract of last Friday's Political Risk Report. Venezuela stakeholders are moving on—and away—from the idea that was the caretakership
Juan Guaidó Proposed a National Agreement. What Does It Mean?
The opposition leader leans into a less confrontational stance and launches an effort to lead the pro-negotiation field
The Uneven Trajectory of Guaidó’s Diplomacy
The representatives of the caretaker president are critical to build and sustain the pressure on Maduro. But several complications muddle the always troubled waters of the ancient trade of international relations.
Juan Guaidó, the Anti-Caudillo
The caretaker president seems free of an old, strong tradition common to chavismo and opposition: politics is about following a man. By acting always in the name of the National Assembly, Guaidó works on a critical return to institutionality.
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