#DondeEstánLosReales
An expanded version of that Reuters story just came out in Spanish, with extra juicy detail. Here’s a fun one: La fábrica de fertilizantes en Puerto Nutrias, un...
Politics
Experimental Evidence on the Fear Factor?
Make of this what you will: when Consultores 21 asks voters outright whether they will vote for Chávez or Capriles, 7.7% say they’re undecided. When, instead, they give...
The BusCaracas will finally arrive...
The neverending story of BusCaracas, the chavista Bus Rapid Transit project that’s faced more crises over the year than a Telenovela heroine, may finally be coming to an...
Closing arguments
The Governor makes his case in this, one of the final videos of the campaign. I asked a friend close to the Comando Venezuela why Capriles didn’t emphasize...
In Johnny We Trust
It really is an extraordinary situation: I don’t think we’ve ever faced such a bizarre, contradictory opinion polling outlook less than two weeks ahead of a vote. The...
The underdog
It really is David vs. Goliath. I set the stage over at the FP blog.
Varianzas - they're tied
Well-regarded pollster Varianzas says: Chávez 49.7%, Capriles 47.4%. The number of people that say the economic sitation in the country is “bad” goes up from 43.4% to 47.2%....
How We're Like Nicaragua in 1990, and How We're Not
It’s become the stuff of Latin American Legend, and a favorite Caprilista talking point of the last few months: despite trailing badly in most well-regarded polls, Nicaragua’s Violeta...
Datanálisis throws in the towel (UPDATED)
Reputable Venezuelan pollster Datanálisis has just leaked its final poll before the election. The results are jaw-dropping, but for the wrong reasons. Their poll, leaked to Bloomberg’s Charlie...
Dirty campaign update, ctd.
The parallel dirty campaign against Henrique Capriles is doubling down on the “Paquetazo” narrative and goes into fear mongering territory, with some help of CG animations: Beside the...
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