Suddenly, it's Chávez playing into our narrative
Capriles has spent the last few months working to portray Chávez as out-of-touch with “the concerns of people like you”: a guy who let power get to his...
Francisco Toro
Quico Toro is the founder of Caracas Chronicles.
MIA
Hard to look at this chart and avoid the conclusion that the Comandante Presidente’s health has taken a sharp turn for the worse in recent weeks. The guy...
Calling for Back-up
So I went out and messed with the Guardianistas once more. On closer inspection, the only thing that appears to be 21st century about Chávez’s 21st-century socialism is the...
Watch that inevitability narrative shift...
Finally somebody gets it. It’s not “Chávez is comfortably ahead in the polls.” It’s “while Chávez has a big lead according to plainly biased pro-government pollsters, serious independent...
How the Opposition Got Its Groove Back
Over on the IHT, I review the way Capriles has radically overhauled the opposition’s brand, broadening its appeal both geographically and socially. In the heat of the moment,...
Could our freakout become their October surprise?
It’s an underexplored question: our presidential elections happen to come just 30 days before Gringoistan heads to the polls. Which means in a Plan Aterra scenario where the...
#DondeEstánLosReales
An expanded version of that Reuters story just came out in Spanish, with extra juicy detail. Here’s a fun one: La fábrica de fertilizantes en Puerto Nutrias, un...
Experimental Evidence on the Fear Factor?
Make of this what you will: when Consultores 21 asks voters outright whether they will vote for Chávez or Capriles, 7.7% say they’re undecided. When, instead, they give...
Into Fonden's Heart of Darkness
Rushing in where angels fear to tread, Reuters today publishes an in-depth special report on Fonden, the off-budget, off-the-record, off-its-rocker spending fund at the heart of the chavista...
In Johnny We Trust
It really is an extraordinary situation: I don’t think we’ve ever faced such a bizarre, contradictory opinion polling outlook less than two weeks ahead of a vote. The...
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