Francisco Toro
Quico Toro is the founder of Caracas Chronicles.
Datanalisis Details
Quico says: It’s not surprising that the Datanalisis poll from Nov 14-20th is getting the most play in the international media. With a big sample (N=1854, margin of...
Time for Some Poll Charts
Quico says: By popular request, here’s the Constitutional Reform Referendum poll chart. (It’s a bit hard to read like this, but you can click to enlarge.) As you...
Working through the scenarios: a Sí victory
Katy says: Over the next few days, Caracas Chronicles is going to try to put the upcoming referendum in context. Ideally, this would be a deeply intellectual exercise,...
The difference a week makes
Quico says: Just a week ago, Chávez’s victory on the constitutional reform referendum was being portrayed as inevitable by foreign journos. But over the weekend, both Reuters and...
Two heuristics that swing elections
Quico says: Political scientists have a dirty little secret. It’s not really polite to say it in mixed company, but it’s a fact: casting a smart vote is...
The times they are a'changin'...
Quico says: A couple of months ago, my feeling was that if there was any way for the oppo old guard to blow their survey lead ahead of...
Lies and Consequences
Lucia says: Two quotes in recent wire stories neatly encapsulate the Chávez strategy for December 2nd. The first comes from a 32-year old mother of four, interviewed by...
Also worth a look
Katy says: My apologies for not posting much recently. Quico has a deadline, Lucia is MIA, and I’m tied up with child-care issues and with my hard drive...
Worth a look
Quico says: Reporters Without Borders’ letter to President Sarkozy on the eve of his meeting with Chávez is here. The Economist’s quite positive take on the student movement...
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