All eyes on Miranda

Twenty three Venezuelan states will pick governors today, but there is one race that looms larger than the rest: the race in Miranda. If Henrique Capriles Radonski is re-elected comfortably, he cements his status as the front-runner for any Presidential election that may be coming. If he loses, his political career is over for now.…

16-D Races to Watch: Zulia

Zulia has always been a mixed bag for Chavismo: The comandante presidente has won there in every presidential election so far (including the recent 7-O), but no Chavista has ever been elected Governor. Chávez himself has complained about this. Un Nuevo Tiempo is undefeated in regional elections since 2000. In spite of this, chavismo feels optimistic…

What on earth does Pablo Pérez think he’s doing?

In a shockingly ham-fisted move, Pablo Pérez’s announced earlier today that the opposition is in talks with a number of chavista governors, including those in Trujillo, Mérida, Bolívar and Yaracuy, to get them to switch their allegiance to Capriles. It’s just obvious to me that this isn’t something you can talk about until you have a done…

After the primary

As public attention has shifted again to Chávez’s health, the succesful opposition primary still has some unresolved issues. Results in the two most important municipalities in Caracas (Libertador & Sucre) gave narrow victories for Ismael Garcia and Juan Carlos Caldera, both endorsed by Henrique Capriles Radonski. Both margins of victory were below 1 %. Both runner-ups,…

Stepping back

Chavismo’s generalized freakout over the selection of a Nazi Zionist gay fraudster TFP-member bent on world domination as Opposition Unity Candidate has been troubling to watch, but stepping back, what are we likely to remember about Sunday? The marginalization of the old guard: AD’s inability to mobilize a majority for its candidate in any state other than Delta Amacuro…

Et tu, William?

William Ojeda picks this afternoon, of all possible afternoons, to insinuate Juan Carlos Caldera stole the Sucre (Petare) Municipal Primary from him. Sickening. Actually, it’s William Ojeda we’re talking about. I’m not even a little bit surprised. (I turned up way too early to this shindig – liveblog will be back in a bit.)

Breaking: TSJ stops MUD from destroying the 12F Voting Rolls

Recall that CNE and MUD had agreed to destroy any record identifying who had voted to avoid a repeat of Tasconesque shenanigans. Suddenly, TSJ decides that’s terribly suspicious. Maybe it wasn’t a crack-up, maybe it was a setup. Consider this: jorge Amorín, on La Hojilla, announced that the top number of votes the opposition could…

Capriles-Induced Crack-Up Update

This thing is snowballing. Now Jorge Rodriguez – yes, m’friend, Jorge Frikkin Rodríguez – is jumping in on the zaniness, this time armed with some charts that look very literally to be hand drawn on the back of an envelope. Amazing! Elsewhere in Chavista crack-up news, RNV goes there. Oh yes, they go there. [Hat…

Capriles Derangement Syndrome

When I first heard about Mario Silva’s conspiracy theory about the MUD inflating turnout figures in yesterday’s primary, I figured it was a flash-in-the-pan, a rash, heat-of-the-moment outburst by a notorious hothead. Chavismo can’t be crying fraud against its own CNE, can it? Amazingly, it looks like it can. Chavista media has turned this theory…

Results in Detail

You can download an Excel spreadsheet with detailed results of yesterday’s primary here. It very nearly but not quite complete: it’s missing results from voting abroad and from the handful of tables where the machines failed and voting had to be done by hand. Fun Facts: Outside of Zulia, Henrique Capriles won 71.8% of the…