CC and the election

I’m in Caracas, so sorry in advance for the light posting. This is just a short note to remind you to follow our 8D election coverage. We’ll try to have as much content as possible for you, as we always do. This election closes a cycle that began some four years ago. The MUD experiment…

Diosdado’s spring/summer 2013 collection

Ahhh…the lazy days of Venezuelan summer. Perfect for strolling through streets perfumed of sun-ripened mangoes, whistling to the Efe ice cream song on balmy Friday afternoons…and, if you’re Diosdado Cabello, trying your hand at some good old political persecution. With two weeks left before the National Assembly goes on summer recess, MUD politicians busy figuring out…

Shadow foreign policy

Over at Foreign Policy’s Transitions blog, I discuss the opposition’s new diplomatic offensive. The value added: These trips are part of a new phase for the Venezuelan opposition. For the first time, they are embarking on a serious diplomatic offensive. The opposition believes that international pressure is the only thing the government will respond to,…

“It”

I’m sitting in a small conference room in e basement of a. Santiago hotel. A delicate breakfast is placed before me, and thirty people are gathered for an intimate conference on Venezuela. The attendees include former Chilean Cabinet members, members of the military, and powerful businessmen. The air is staid and the coffee may be bland,…

A rejoinder on Leopoldo López’s indictment

The substance of the accusations being brought 15-years after the fact against opposition leader Leopoldo López don’t merit very much comment, other than to note that that guy must really be squeaky clean if the only thing chavismo could find to charge him for happened during the Clinton administration. Setting that aside, what really gets me is the catastrophic absence…

All eyes on Miranda

Twenty three Venezuelan states will pick governors today, but there is one race that looms larger than the rest: the race in Miranda. If Henrique Capriles Radonski is re-elected comfortably, he cements his status as the front-runner for any Presidential election that may be coming. If he loses, his political career is over for now.…

16-D Races to Watch: Zulia

Zulia has always been a mixed bag for Chavismo: The comandante presidente has won there in every presidential election so far (including the recent 7-O), but no Chavista has ever been elected Governor. Chávez himself has complained about this. Un Nuevo Tiempo is undefeated in regional elections since 2000. In spite of this, chavismo feels optimistic…

What on earth does Pablo Pérez think he’s doing?

In a shockingly ham-fisted move, Pablo Pérez’s announced earlier today that the opposition is in talks with a number of chavista governors, including those in Trujillo, Mérida, Bolívar and Yaracuy, to get them to switch their allegiance to Capriles. It’s just obvious to me that this isn’t something you can talk about until you have a done…

After the primary

As public attention has shifted again to Chávez’s health, the succesful opposition primary still has some unresolved issues. Results in the two most important municipalities in Caracas (Libertador & Sucre) gave narrow victories for Ismael Garcia and Juan Carlos Caldera, both endorsed by Henrique Capriles Radonski. Both margins of victory were below 1 %. Both runner-ups,…