The Book
In praise of Blogging the Revolution
“Caracas Chronicles has been an indispensable source of lucidity and perspective in these turbulent times in Venezuela. Toro and Nagel have been right on target, without pretending to be ludicrously impartial; they have been able to rise above polarization, trying hard to make sense of an often implausible reality. Blogging the Revolution shows them at their best. If you are not already a fan, you will become one.”
- Francisco J. Monaldi, RFK Visiting Professor at Harvard Kennedy School and Director, Center on Energy at IESA in Caracas.Recent Comments
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Category Archives: Primaries
Capriles Derangement Syndrome
When I first heard about Mario Silva’s conspiracy theory about the MUD inflating turnout figures in yesterday’s primary, I figured it was a flash-in-the-pan, a rash, heat-of-the-moment outburst by a notorious hothead. Chavismo can’t be crying fraud against its own … Continue reading
Posted in Primaries
137 Comments
Results in Detail
You can download an Excel spreadsheet with detailed results of yesterday’s primary here. It very nearly but not quite complete: it’s missing results from voting abroad and from the handful of tables where the machines failed and voting had to … Continue reading
Posted in Primaries
5 Comments
It’s Official
With a Staggering 62.2% of a mind-blowing 2.9 million votes cast, Henrique Capriles is the Opposition Unity Candidate. Pablo Pérez’s concession speech was gracious and heartfelt. MCM’s a little limp and premature. The pledges of unity are universal. Hugo Chávez … Continue reading
Posted in Henrique Capriles, Primaries
114 Comments
Henrique Capriles wins the opposition’s nomination
As of 6:51 p.m., based on numerous sources, we can safely predict Henrique Capriles has won the opposition’s nomination. Congratulations to all the candidates for a great primary. On to October, united we stand. UPDATE: It’s too early to predict … Continue reading
Posted in Henrique Capriles, Primaries
100 Comments
Turnout: 11% of REP at 2:30 – UPDATED
…it’s absolutely true cuz I read it in Caracas Chronicles. UPDATE: If this turns out to be right, it’s a big number, and probably good news for HCR. But it’s looking like the Quick Counts aren’t going to be all … Continue reading
Posted in Primaries
54 Comments
La Churuata Situacional
What you think PJ-Miranda’s Situation Room looks like: What PJ-Miranda’s Situation Room actually looks like: Lot’s of activity. Folks hard at work coordinating the Get Out The Vote Drive. Lots of micro-level problem-solving (get out the vote activists who didn’t … Continue reading
Posted in Primaries
25 Comments
Out: Exit Polls. In: Quick Counts.
As primary voting winds down towards late afternoon today, I bet you’ll start hearing a lot of rumors about this exit poll and that exit poll. Disregard them. There are no Nationwide Exit Polls that I know of this time … Continue reading
The final pitch
The final ads from the primary candidates. Strong stuff from all of them. Pablo Pérez goes for the intimate talk with fawning young people. Henrique Capriles shows spontaneous meetings with adoring crowds, including the iconic brincadera de charcos. Maria Corina … Continue reading
Posted in Opposition, Primaries
62 Comments
Framing Sunday
In my primary set-up piece for the IHT/NYT Latitude Blog, I take time to reflect on just how far the opposition has come from the boneheaded maximalism of 2002-2006 to get to Sunday’s primary. From Carlos Ortega ranting about the … Continue reading
Posted in Politics, Primaries
12 Comments
Five things to watch for in Sunday’s primary
Primary season is almost over. Here is our list of things to watch on Sunday:
Posted in Primaries
48 Comments
Caracas Chronicles Focus Group
One of the opposition campaigns (hint: rhymes with Frapiles) asked us to spread the word about these four ads. They want to know what you all think. Feel free to mouth off in the comments! What do you think?
Posted in Opposition, Primaries
169 Comments
Machine Man
“We have 530,000 votes for Pablo Pérez in Zulia. And when I tell you we have 530,000 votes for Pablo Pérez in Zulia, that’s not some estimate, or a hope, or a plan or anything like that. When I say … Continue reading
Posted in Pablo Perez
56 Comments
Who’s Strong Where?
Here’s a fun bit of statistical onanism: going through the data from the 2010 parliamentary election, who has the better allies, Henrique Capriles or Pablo Pérez?
Posted in Primaries
21 Comments
LL puts an end to what little suspense there was
So, in his last debate answer tonight, Leopoldo López just about announced he’s dropping out and backing Henrique Capriles. The official announcement is tomorrow morning at 10:00 a.m. And the real question is, what did they offer him? The obvious … Continue reading
Posted in Henrique Capriles, Leopoldo López
103 Comments
Is Leopoldo López Venezuela’s Rick Perry?
I was reading through the excellent comments debate that followed Juan’s Capriles post – really, it’s been a long time since so much good stuff came out in our forum – and suddenly it struck me: where’s Leopoldo? Even among … Continue reading
Posted in Leopoldo López
62 Comments
