Our serial purveyors of Venezuelan election maps have updated their parish-by-parish interface to create a nice graphical representation of how exactly our asses got handed to us on October 7th.
Their platform allows you to zoom in and out and quickly toggle between this and previous, erm, election backside handovers.
Grimly entertaining.
 | ratonfilo on Reading the god-given tea… |
 | P.Challenger on Bandes’s not-so-great ov… |
 | Shintock on Really, Auntie Beeb? UPDA… |
 | jctt on Reading the god-given tea… |
 | syd on Really, Auntie Beeb? UPDA… |
 | Felix on A great Boris Muñoz piece in T… |
 | rici on Diosdado IS chavismo |
 | hal9000 on Really, Auntie Beeb? UPDA… |
| ratonfilo on Reading the god-given tea… |
| syd on Really, Auntie Beeb? UPDA… |
This is a promising map from a Chavista perspective. The most revolutionary areas are situated where the country needs to develop industry, agriculture and population growth.
This is the only way Venezuela can reverse the trend of migration to the major cities.
yoyo, If you develop industry and agriculture based on desired population migration geography instead of on optimizing the efficiency of said industries or agriculture (i.e., how business folk in neighboring nations would decide), how do you expect to remain competitive? By the way, in your answer, you can’t say subsidy without having to explain from where the money for the subsidy comes.
–
Not so grim if you compare them with the deeper crimsom maps of yore… Not so grim at all. Venezuela is barely pink, pinkish.
BTW, Dorothy K rules!
The main differences come with the 2007-2008, at a first glance. But there are relative gains in pro-chavista areas almost everywhere (but Zulia and Carabobo; again, at a first glance)…
We gained votes almost everywhere, but, where our lead was not solid, the machine trumped the campaign.
I agree with GT, the map is not longer deep red, mostly rosado-rosadito. Zulia, Carabobo and -even more surprising to me- Margarita!…in reverse trend. Inroads made in Anzoategui, Bolivar, Merida and even urban Aragua are very promising if we manage to hold our possitions there. In Miranda we are in the hands of the caraqueño middle class getting over the guayabo.
BTW, One of the most exciting things Oct7 left me was having the opportunity to meet Dorotea in person…she rules even more live
Compare this with 1998, when Chavez won with a similar percentage…
similar percentage? What are you talking about?
You have to put that into context. 1998 had one of the highest abstention % in historical perspective. Ni es similar ni es siquiera comparable.
I agree with Guillermo – this is not a grim map at all. In fact, Venezuela goes from roja-rojita to pinkish, especially if you focus solely on the 2004, 2009 and 2012 elections. We are no longer losing badly in the vast majority of Parapara-land (although each state requires a separate analysis… including Zulia).
Kudos to Dorothy. Great, much-needed contribution, and an excellent teaching/discussion tool. I’m using it tomorrow for a panel discussion (of course, credits given to her and CC for sharing her work!)
Wonderful work!
While the recovery of the opposition has been impressive, my worry is that we may be seeing both groups achieving a plateau. In other words we may me going from blitzkrieg to trench warfare and stagnation in the near future.
Beautiful work, Dorothy Kronick. Thank you for showing us the value of a top-tier education.
When data is well presented, using a systematic and historical format, one can bettter come to conclusions than through those who use a thousand words to shout “fraud” and “don’t be naive”.
While we’re at it, let’s recognize Dorothy’s researchers Chris and Javier who did most of the actual gruntwork!
You’re right. Aplausos, Christian Font and Javier Rodríguez Rivas!
If anyone notices any mistakes (for example, differences with the CNE site) or has other suggestions, please let us know –
It would be interesting to chart opposition performance with number of visits by Capriles.
Claro, Alfredo Guerra (w/ Richard Obuchi) have a great paper on this! I look forward to seeing the full draft –
Capriles had already said opposition won in all the places he visited. It remains to be seen how accurate is that remark.
This is not a chart, but it shows how he performed in some of the places he visited.
http://www.monitorelectoral.org.ve/?q=node%2F252
Fair enough, well explained.
Great improvement from Presidential 2006. Great work!
At least in the Maracaibo lake and into territorial waters of the Caribbean we did pretty well, didn’t we?
I am gong to send all this chronicles to my friends in the rural zona of the country. Sorry if I have mistakes in english.
I think it’s interesting to compare the 2009 map and the one of 2012. In both elections, Chavez received the same proportion of the vote, but the two maps are very different. Why would that be?