Datanálisis has Chávez leading Capriles by 13 percentage points, 44 to 31. When sampling likely voters, the numbers are 48 to 35.
It’s worth pointing out that Datanálisis has a large number of undecided voters, or people who simply don’t want to answer. That could point to problems with the way the question was framed, or with the poll itself. Or it could simply be a reflection of people not having made up their minds.
It’s also worth pointing out that large numbers of undecideds appears to be a feature of Datanálisis polls, but that Datanálisis and C21 tend to converge once election time nears.
At any rate, those are the numbers as of now. Nobody said it would be easy.