Dropping Like Flies

With the opposition’s primary field winnowing out fast, there’s all kinds of activity over on our Oppo Primary Field Guide. We’ve added an “endorsements” section to each candidate, gotten rid of the Wildcards (who by now are obviously not running) and added detail to the top tier guys. The MUD’s decision to demand that candidates…

The Oppo Field Now

So Pablo Pérez’s AD endorsement prompted us to revise our Oppo Field Guide once again. Want the short version? The Opposition Primary is quickly settling into a three-horse race between Henrique Capriles Radonski (HCR), Pablo Pérez (PP) and Leopoldo López (LL), with the others struggling to establish their relevance and several likely to drop out…

Henry hearts Pablo

AD has announced its endorsement of Pablo Pérez for President. Henry Ramos Allup made the announcement today. Antonio Ledezma, who has been busy courting AD’s base and all but dived into CAP’s grave, is sure to be disappointed. Both Ledezma and Maria Corina Machado are quickly slipping into irrelevance. As for us, well … let’s…

Libya today, China tomorrow?

El Mundo Economía y Negocios has a nice catch regarding Venezuela’s billion-dollar joint development fund with Libya. Signed just a year ago, partially ratified by the A.N. and published in Gaceta Oficial on December 30th 2010, our bilateral development fund with Libya is undeniably legal in Venezuela. And, within well-established international doctrines on state succession,…

What, another one!???

Jesus, another fake pollster?! En serio!? This one has such a generic name – International Consulting Services (!) – that a Google search just throws back all manner of generic little firms, none of which are remotely related to public opinion research. It’s like they’ve given up even trying to pass these off as proper polling…

Wait until mourning

Live fast, die young, and leave a beautiful corpse. So goes the saying. For politicians, a corollary is in order: use the corpse to secure power. The resounding triumph of Cristina Kirchner in Argentina yesterday got me thinking of Venezuela’s possible (and probable?) transition. A few years ago, Cristina was toast. Deeply unpopular, out of…