Monthly Archives: February 2009

Quico says: Interestingly, last night was, in a way, the opposition’s best result ever: 5 million votes is well more than had ever voted for our side before, while 6 million votes is 1.2 million below chavismo’s high water mark. … Continue reading →

Quico says: So I’ve been thinking of new ways to visualize the data from last night’s massive bummer. I thought comparing them to the 2007 referendum and last november’s regional elections might be interesting. In the next couple of charts, … Continue reading →

Juan Cristobal says: – If I were in charge of the opposition (hear hear!!), I would demand my concession speech was carried on cadena nacional. Before you scoff, think about all the effort the government put in forcing the opposition … Continue reading →

Juan Cristobal says: – If I were in charge of the opposition (hear hear!!), I would demand my concession speech was carried on cadena nacional. Before you scoff, think about all the effort the government put in forcing the opposition … Continue reading →

At 9:30 pm, the National Elections Council says: Sí – 6,003,594No – 5,040,082 With 94.2% of tally sheets accounted for. It’s really not a surprise. If you control the question, you control the answer. Chavismo’s real problems start tomorrow. Epilogue … Continue reading →

At 9:30 pm, the National Elections Council says: Sí – 6,003,594No – 5,040,082 With 94.2% of tally sheets accounted for. It’s really not a surprise. If you control the question, you control the answer. Chavismo’s real problems start tomorrow. Epilogue … Continue reading →

Quico says: With 80% of the votes tallied, very reliable sources are confident. At 7:50 pm Caracas time, we’re calling it: Sí will win by a wide margin.

Our Man in Catia says: My mesa: 229 Sí (56.2%), 172 No (42.2%), 16 nulos for atotal of 417 which matches the cuaderno. In 2007, that center voted 57.7% in favor of Sí, 42.3% for No. (CNE never reported the … Continue reading →

Our Man in Catia says: 6:45 pm: Just spent talking 10 mins with the other witness for the SI, and talked politics. Freddy is a 35 year old father of 4 and owner of his own clothing store in La … Continue reading →

Gewurztraminer 2007, from Alsace. It’s nice and spicy, cinnamon-scented. I suggest you do the same…this is going to take some time.

Gewurztraminer 2007, from Alsace. It’s nice and spicy, cinnamon-scented. I suggest you do the same…this is going to take some time.

Quico says: We can confirm that IVAD’s (Seijas) exit poll, commissioned by interests close to the government (but not by the government itself), shows the Sí ahead by 7-9 points.

Quico says: I’m posting this on behalf of Juan Cristobal, who’s been talking to his contacts in the opposition. Word is, chill. The rumors going around right now are just that, rumors. It looks close. Turnout appears to have been … Continue reading →

Our Man in Catia says: 5:50 pm: No one came today dressed in red with the Si slogan to vote. Only one guy, came with a Psuv cap and a red shirt, but he he was very respectful and was … Continue reading →

Quico says: On UnionRadio, the No-campaign headquarters sounded like a massive party, Foreign Minister Nicolás Maduro sounds like he just came out of a funeral. (¿¿¡¿!?!???) Polling centers close in 11 minutes.