Poll Chart: Too Much Noise, Not Enough Signal

Quico says: You asked for it, you got it:Click to expand A few things to note: IVAD is more and more “the government pollster.” A month before the 2007 constitutional reform referendum, they had the Sí ahead 64%-28%. This time around, it was Information Minister Jesse Chacón who made their poll result public. CECA is…

Poll Chart: Too Much Noise, Not Enough Signal

Quico says: You asked for it, you got it:Click to expand A few things to note: IVAD is more and more “the government pollster.” A month before the 2007 constitutional reform referendum, they had the Sí ahead 64%-28%. This time around, it was Information Minister Jesse Chacón who made their poll result public. CECA is…

Stagflation’s just another word for Catch-22

Quico says: One vital question that’s getting virtually no attention is what the correct policy response would be to the economic crisis likely to hit Venezuela later this year. By all accounts, we’re looking at a recession, with economic activity falling and unemployment rising. The normal, orthodox response to a recession is to spend, even…

Stagflation’s just another word for Catch-22

Quico says: One vital question that’s getting virtually no attention is what the correct policy response would be to the economic crisis likely to hit Venezuela later this year. By all accounts, we’re looking at a recession, with economic activity falling and unemployment rising. The normal, orthodox response to a recession is to spend, even…

PDVSA Maula

Quico says: This Dow Jones wire story, by-lined Raúl Gallegos, makes for compelling reading. The entire thing is really quite stunning, but if I had to pick just a couple of grafs: Oil company executives say PdVSA stopped paying service firms in August and the debt to all suppliers may have risen by as much…

PDVSA Maula

Quico says: This Dow Jones wire story, by-lined Raúl Gallegos, makes for compelling reading. The entire thing is really quite stunning, but if I had to pick just a couple of grafs: Oil company executives say PdVSA stopped paying service firms in August and the debt to all suppliers may have risen by as much…

EIA Settles the Matter

Quico says: The US Department of Energy’s well regarded Energy Information Administration has just put out its latest Country Analysis Brief on Venezuela. After acknowledging methodological and opacity concerns (even they can’t figure out what “other liquids” means!) the EIA estimates that, in 2007, Venezuela was producing about 2.7 million barrels of oil and associated…

EIA Settles the Matter

Quico says: The US Department of Energy’s well regarded Energy Information Administration has just put out its latest Country Analysis Brief on Venezuela. After acknowledging methodological and opacity concerns (even they can’t figure out what “other liquids” means!) the EIA estimates that, in 2007, Venezuela was producing about 2.7 million barrels of oil and associated…

Two nuggets of truth from my inbox

Juan Cristobal says: – Excerpts from some email conversations I had yesterday. ————— From: Juan CristobalTo: My friend Roger, roger@deepinsidechavistabureaucracy.gob.veSubject: What have you heard? Dude,Tell me about the Referendum. Is it true that they are telling government workers they have to take a picture of their vote with their cell phone to prove they voted…

Two nuggets of truth from my inbox

Juan Cristobal says: – Excerpts from some email conversations I had yesterday. ————— From: Juan CristobalTo: My friend Roger, roger@deepinsidechavistabureaucracy.gob.veSubject: What have you heard? Dude,Tell me about the Referendum. Is it true that they are telling government workers they have to take a picture of their vote with their cell phone to prove they voted…

The elevator speech

Juan Cristobal says: Imagine you’re working to get someone elected and you run into an undecided voter in an elevator. You have thirty seconds to convince this voter to support your candidate before she gets off. What do you tell her? What is your elevator speech? Successful campaigns need good, tight elevator speeches: tiny narratives…

The elevator speech

Juan Cristobal says: Imagine you’re working to get someone elected and you run into an undecided voter in an elevator. You have thirty seconds to convince this voter to support your candidate before she gets off. What do you tell her? What is your elevator speech? Successful campaigns need good, tight elevator speeches: tiny narratives…