Monthly Archives: November 2007

***CORRECTED VERSION*** Quico says: Did I say Consultores 21 was the last poll of the season? I lied. Hinterlaces has just put out one last poll. This one is based on 1,642 telephone interviews in cities done between November 26th … Continue reading →

***CORRECTED VERSION*** Quico says: Did I say Consultores 21 was the last poll of the season? I lied. Hinterlaces has just put out one last poll. This one is based on 1,642 telephone interviews in cities done between November 26th … Continue reading →

Quico says: First, the bare fact, which is now verging on cliché: Sunday’s referendum will hinge on turnout. Both the detailed polls that have come out recently bear that out. My sense is that C21 is closer to the mark … Continue reading →

Quico says: First, the bare fact, which is now verging on cliché: Sunday’s referendum will hinge on turnout. Both the detailed polls that have come out recently bear that out. My sense is that C21 is closer to the mark … Continue reading →

Quico says: Though it’s arguably not so timely (serious policy analysis feels slightly out of place in the heady pre-election atmosphere), Jens Erik Gould’s NYTimes piece on Chávez’s transparency gap is brilliant.

Quico says: The final poll of the season is out, and it’s a doosy. Consultores 21 polled 2000 voters, nationwide, in their homes, between Nov. 17 and Nov. 25th. The headline figures? It’s looking good, but, again, it will come … Continue reading →

Quico says: The final poll of the season is out, and it’s a doosy. Consultores 21 polled 2000 voters, nationwide, in their homes, between Nov. 17 and Nov. 25th. The headline figures? It’s looking good, but, again, it will come … Continue reading →

Quico says: Well, despite my best intentions, the “fraud or no fraud” debate seems to have burst through with renewed vigor on the comments section. I was hoping to avoid it, but now it’s out there, I guess it’s best … Continue reading →

Quico says: Well, despite my best intentions, the “fraud or no fraud” debate seems to have burst through with renewed vigor on the comments section. I was hoping to avoid it, but now it’s out there, I guess it’s best … Continue reading →

Quico says: Here’s a sphincter-clenching question for you: what’s the worst thing that could happen after Sunday’s Constitutional Reform Referendum? To me, the worst case scenario is the government stealing the vote. But as I tried to think through this … Continue reading →

Katy says: After a fourteen hour debate (!!), the radical opposition umbrella group Comando Nacional de la Resistencia has just abandoned its militant abstentionism. In a whiplash-inducing change of mind, they are now calling for people to go out and … Continue reading →

Lucia says: Reporters Without Borders give their take on Venezuela’s deepening media crisis. They review review Iris Varela’s meltdown, the dangers posed by the reforms, the uncertain fate of RCTV, and an academic study of media coverage of the referendum … Continue reading →

http://www.youtube.com/v/vy7h6ppTXyo&rel=1

Quico says: It’s not surprising that the Datanalisis poll from Nov 14-20th is getting the most play in the international media. With a big sample (N=1854, margin of error=2.3%), based on in-person interviews, and reaching beyond the major cities, it’s … Continue reading →