One more...
***CORRECTED VERSION*** Quico says: Did I say Consultores 21 was the last poll of the season? I lied. Hinterlaces has just put out one last poll. This one...
Turnout as NiNi psychodrama
Quico says: First, the bare fact, which is now verging on cliché: Sunday’s referendum will hinge on turnout. Both the detailed polls that have come out recently bear...
But seriously, folks...
Quico says: Though it’s arguably not so timely (serious policy analysis feels slightly out of place in the heady pre-election atmosphere), Jens Erik Gould’s NYTimes piece on Chávez’s...
The prodigal poll
Quico says: The final poll of the season is out, and it’s a doosy. Consultores 21 polled 2000 voters, nationwide, in their homes, between Nov. 17 and Nov....
This again...
Quico says: Well, despite my best intentions, the “fraud or no fraud” debate seems to have burst through with renewed vigor on the comments section. I was hoping...
Working Through the Scenarios II: A Fraudulent Sí
Quico says: Here’s a sphincter-clenching question for you: what’s the worst thing that could happen after Sunday’s Constitutional Reform Referendum? To me, the worst case scenario is the...
Walk on through to the other side
Katy says: After a fourteen hour debate (!!), the radical opposition umbrella group Comando Nacional de la Resistencia has just abandoned its militant abstentionism. In a whiplash-inducing change...
Fosforito chronicles
Lucia says: Reporters Without Borders give their take on Venezuela’s deepening media crisis. They review review Iris Varela’s meltdown, the dangers posed by the reforms, the uncertain fate...
Datanalisis Details
Quico says: It’s not surprising that the Datanalisis poll from Nov 14-20th is getting the most play in the international media. With a big sample (N=1854, margin of...
Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported.
We’ve been able to hang on for 22 years in one of the craziest media landscapes in the world. We’ve seen different media outlets in Venezuela (and abroad) closing shop, something we’re looking to avoid at all costs. Your collaboration goes a long way in helping us weather the storm.
Donate