Podcast: Rosales as Bartlett

Quico says: Well, here’s the seriously disturbing audio of part of that Rosales town hall meeting. Rosales is, um, not a natural speaker. But it’s Globo’s comically inept attempt to make him seem less boring by setting his speech to some shlocky Hollywood track that really grabs your attention. There’s something really cringe-worthy about this…

The provocation begins…

Quico says: To understand the next few days, you need to understand one key fact: it’s in the government’s interest to bait the opposition into over-reaching. Provocation is the name of the game. And Plan Colina the Nth is underway: Rosales’s Caracas coordinator’s offices are being raided by the police as I type this.

Primer on Sunday’s election…

Quico says: Well, as usual, my hit-count is going berserk as Sunday’s election draws near. Hello new people! Caracas Chronicles has been around for over 4 years now, and usually caters to a hearty breed of hardcore English-speaking Venezuelan politics junkies. We’ll be trying to write for a broader audience for the next few days,…

Primer on Sunday’s election…

Quico says: Well, as usual, my hit-count is going berserk as Sunday’s election draws near. Hello new people! Caracas Chronicles has been around for over 4 years now, and usually caters to a hearty breed of hardcore English-speaking Venezuelan politics junkies. We’ll be trying to write for a broader audience for the next few days,…

Primer on Sunday’s election…

Quico says: Well, as usual, my hit-count is going berserk as Sunday’s election draws near. Hello new people! Caracas Chronicles has been around for over 4 years now, and usually caters to a hearty breed of hardcore English-speaking Venezuelan politics junkies. We’ll be trying to write for a broader audience for the next few days,…

Final Survey Chart

Quico says: Well, here’s the final survey slide, with the latest Evans McDonough poll added: Click to enlargeAs you can see, I’ve split the Surveys into two groups. Standard methodology surveys – the ones based on in-home, face-to-face interviews – and surveys using alternative methodologies. The standard methodology surveys all give Chavez a big lead.…

Final Survey Chart

Quico says: Well, here’s the final survey slide, with the latest Evans McDonough poll added: Click to enlargeAs you can see, I’ve split the Surveys into two groups. Standard methodology surveys – the ones based on in-home, face-to-face interviews – and surveys using alternative methodologies. The standard methodology surveys all give Chavez a big lead.…

Final Survey Chart

Quico says: Well, here’s the final survey slide, with the latest Evans McDonough poll added: Click to enlargeAs you can see, I’ve split the Surveys into two groups. Standard methodology surveys – the ones based on in-home, face-to-face interviews – and surveys using alternative methodologies. The standard methodology surveys all give Chavez a big lead.…

Manuel Rosales, up close and personal

Katy says: Last night, Globovisión held a town-hall meeting with opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. It was an interesting broadcast since it allowed the candidate to get all sorts of questions from an audience that was clearly comprised of chavistas and opposition folk alike. It really should have been a debate, but Pres. Chávez refuses to…

Manuel Rosales, up close and personal

Katy says: Last night, Globovisión held a town-hall meeting with opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. It was an interesting broadcast since it allowed the candidate to get all sorts of questions from an audience that was clearly comprised of chavistas and opposition folk alike. It really should have been a debate, but Pres. Chávez refuses to…

Manuel Rosales, up close and personal

Katy says: Last night, Globovisión held a town-hall meeting with opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. It was an interesting broadcast since it allowed the candidate to get all sorts of questions from an audience that was clearly comprised of chavistas and opposition folk alike. It really should have been a debate, but Pres. Chávez refuses to…

Poll Wars Chronicles

Quico says: Check out this impressive overview of the Poll Wars by Phil Gunson in the Miami Herald. Polls offer vastly different predictions for Venezuela’s presidential election Sunday. CARACAS – With less than a week to go before Venezuela’s presidential election, supporters of both President Hugo Chávez and his main rival, Manuel Rosales, are confident…

Poll Wars Chronicles

Quico says: Check out this impressive overview of the Poll Wars by Phil Gunson in the Miami Herald. Polls offer vastly different predictions for Venezuela’s presidential election Sunday. CARACAS – With less than a week to go before Venezuela’s presidential election, supporters of both President Hugo Chávez and his main rival, Manuel Rosales, are confident…

Election tree update

Quico says: Actually, there are eight logical possibilities:Care to hazard a guess how this will go? Which scenario do you think is most likely? 1. Rosales does a Kerry 2. Rosales does an AMLO 3. Chavez does a Daniel Ortega 4. Chavez goes Burmese 5. Chavez does a Carlos Salinas 6. Rosales goes Ukrainian 7.…

Election tree update

Quico says: Actually, there are eight logical possibilities:Care to hazard a guess how this will go? Which scenario do you think is most likely? 1. Rosales does a Kerry 2. Rosales does an AMLO 3. Chavez does a Daniel Ortega 4. Chavez goes Burmese 5. Chavez does a Carlos Salinas 6. Rosales goes Ukrainian 7.…